Payson Total Return Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| PBFDX Fund | USD 38.58 0.49 1.25% |
The fund holds a Beta of 0.94, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Payson Total returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Payson Total is expected to follow.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Payson Total Return are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Payson Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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| Expense Ratio Date | 1st of August 2025 | |
| Expense Ratio | 0.8100 |
Payson |
Payson Total Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,649 in Payson Total Return on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 209.00 from holding Payson Total Return or generate 5.73% return on investment over 90 days. Payson Total Return is currently producing 0.0983% returns and takes up 1.0457% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 9% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Payson, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Payson Total Current Valuation
Fairly Valued
Today
Please note that Payson Total's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Payson Total Return holds a recent Real Value of $38.3 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $38.58. We determine the value of Payson Total Return from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Payson Total is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Payson Mutual Fund. However, Payson Total's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 38.58 | Real 38.3 | Hype 38.57 | Naive 38.45 |
The intrinsic value of Payson Total's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Payson Total's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Payson Total Return helps investors to forecast how Payson mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Payson Total more accurately as focusing exclusively on Payson Total's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Payson Total Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Payson Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 38.58 | 90 days | 38.58 | about 18.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Payson Total to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.38 (This Payson Total Return probability density function shows the probability of Payson Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Payson Total Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Payson Total
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Payson Total Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Payson Total's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Payson Total Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Payson Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Payson Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Payson Total Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Payson Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0028 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.006 |
Payson Total Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Payson Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Payson Total Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks |
Payson Total Fundamentals Growth
Payson Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Payson Total, and Payson Total fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Payson Mutual Fund performance.
| Price To Earning | 15.86 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.55 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.82 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 321.03 M | ||||
About Payson Total Performance
Evaluating Payson Total's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Payson Total has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Payson Total has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in common stock and convertible securities of large and mid capitalization domestic companies. Its investment adviser defines large capitalization domestic companies as those companies with market capitalizations in excess of 12 billion and mid capitalization domestic companies as those companies with market capitalizations in the range of 2 billion to 12 billion. The fund is non-diversified.Things to note about Payson Total Return performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Payson Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Payson Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks |
- Analyzing Payson Total's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Payson Total's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Payson Total's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Payson Total's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Payson Total's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Payson Total's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Payson Total's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Payson Mutual Fund
Payson Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payson Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payson with respect to the benefits of owning Payson Total security.
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